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Grammys: Sienna Spiro pulls ahead of Ella Langley in Best New Artist odds
Дата публикации: 26-10-2026 20:45:00
The country singer behind 'Choosin' Texas' had previously led the category.
Основное содержимое страницы с новостью.
One of the major music stories of the year is undoubtedly Ella Langley and her seemingly never-ending run atop the Billboard Hot 100 with her 2025 single "Choosin' Texas." The song's chart domination and ensuing controversy (about whether the song was actually as popular as its performance would suggest) naturally led to conversation around her odds at the Grammys.
With major competition in Song of the Year and Record of the Year, the softest landing place for Langley appeared to be Best New Artist, and her ranking there in Gold Derby's odds seemed to support a run in that category similar to what "Choosin' Texas" did on the Hot 100.
But that's no longer the case.
As of Oct. 16, Sienna Spiro, the singer of the very viral "Die on This Hill," has overtaken Langley to claim the top spot in the Best New Artist nomination odds, with Langley just behind in a close second.
READ: Secret Grammy voters reveal who’s up, who’s down at the end of Phase 1
Grammy Nominations 2027
Contender
Odds
1.
Sienna Spiro
98.1%
2.
Ella Langley
97.7%
3.
Slayyyter
96.3%
4.
Geese
94.5%
5.
Malcolm Todd
89.2%
6.
Audrey Hobert
72.4%
7.
Role Model
72.0%
8.
Dominic Fike
45.1%
9.
Stella Lefty
28.5%
10.
Don Toliver
21.1%
11.
Miles Caton
17.5%
12.
Ravyn Lenae
11.3%
13.
Sam Fender
6.2%
14.
CMAT
5.3%
15.
Jade
4.1%
16.
Bella Kay
3.9%
17.
Rochelle Jordan
2.5%
18.
The Last Dinner Party
2.3%
19.
Megan Moroney
1.8%
20.
Rachel Chinouriri
1.6%
21.
FLO
1.2%
22.
Angine de Poitrine
1.1%
23.
Haute and Freddy
0.9%
24.
Djo
0.9%
25.
Infinity Song
0.9%
26.
Illit
0.7%
27.
Kneecap
0.7%
28.
The Red Clay Strays
0.7%
29.
Rose Gray
0.5%
30.
The Beaches
0.5%
31.
Absolutely
0.5%
32.
Ezra Collective
0.5%
33.
Mitski
0.5%
34.
Magnus Ferrell
0.5%
35.
Dexter and the Moonrocks
0.4%
36.
Stephen Wilson, Jr.
0.2%
37.
JT
0.2%
38.
Dijon
0.2%
39.
Holly Humberstone
0.2%
40.
Mackenzie Carpenter
0.2%
41.
Bini
0.2%
42.
Vincent Mason
0.2%
43.
Amber Mark
0.2%
44.
Elmiene
0.2%
45.
EsDeeKid
0.2%
46.
Hemlocke Springs
0.2%
47.
JayDon
0.2%
48.
Julia Wolf
0.2%
49.
Kwn
0.2%
50.
Odeal
0.2%
51.
Hudson Westbrook
Michael Buckner/Billboard
Hudson Westbrook
0.2%
52.
NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE - NOVEMBER 20: (L-R) Alex Collignon, Vincent Mason, Gavin Adcock and Saxton Curry attend WME's CMA Awards After Party on November 20, 2024 at Sixty Vines at Fifth and Broad in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Jason Kempin/Getty Images for WME)
Jason Kempin/Getty Images
Gavin Adcock
0.2%
53.
Caroline Jones
Tammie Arroyo/Variety
Caroline Jones
0.2%
54.
SEOUL, SOUTH KOREA - MAY 26: Martin (CORTIS) attends the Chanel Métiers d'Art Show 2026 at Centre Pompidou Hanwha on May 26, 2026 in Seoul, South Korea. (Photo by Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images for CHANEL)
Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images
Cortis
--
55.
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - FEBRUARY 01: Alemeda attends Universal Music Group's 2026 GRAMMY After Party at NYA WEST on February 01, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Jon Kopaloff/Getty Images for Universal Music Group)
Jon Kopaloff/Getty Images
Alemeda
--
56.
MANCHESTER, ENGLAND - FEBRUARY 28: (EDITORIAL USE ONLY) (L-R) Nicolas Alves, Danny Bretherton, Josh Olliver, Cruz Lee-Ojo, John Fadare, Seán Hayden and Hendrik Christoffersen of December 10 attend The BRIT Awards 2026 at Co-op Live on February 28, 2026 in Manchester, England. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images)
Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images
December 10
--
57.
Emily Ann Roberts
Gilbert Flores/Billboard
Emily Ann Roberts
--
58.
PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - DECEMBER 15: Freya Skye attends iHeartRadio Q102's Jingle Ball 2025 Presented By Capital One at Xfinity Mobile Arena on December 15, 2025 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Lisa Lake/Getty Images for for iHeartRadio)
Lisa Lake/Getty Images
Freya Skye
--
59.
BEVERLY HILLS, CALIFORNIA - JANUARY 31: (FOR EDITORIAL USE ONLY) Violet Grohl attends the 68th GRAMMY Awards Pre-GRAMMY Gala & GRAMMY Salute to Industry Icons Honoring Avery Lipman and Monte Lipman at The Beverly Hilton on January 31, 2026 in Beverly Hills, California. (Photo by Amy Sussman/Getty Images)
Amy Sussman/Getty Images
Violet Grohl
--
60.
LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 01: Myles Smith attends The BRIT Awards 2025 After Party at Nobu London on March 01, 2025 in London, England. (Photo by Kate Green/Getty Images)
Kate Green/Getty Images
Myles Smith
--
61.
MANCHESTER, ENGLAND - FEBRUARY 28: (EDITORIAL USE ONLY) Jacob Alon attends The BRIT Awards 2026 at Co-op Live on February 28, 2026 in Manchester, England. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images)
Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images
Jacob Alon
--
62.
MANCHESTER, ENGLAND - FEBRUARY 28: (EDITORIAL USE ONLY) Sasha Keable attends The BRIT Awards 2026 at Co-op Live on February 28, 2026 in Manchester, England. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images)
Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images
Sasha Keable
--
63.
dasha sq pmc
Gilbert Flores for Billboard
Dasha
--
64.
josh levi sq pmc
Rob Latour/Variety
Josh Levi
--
65.
Avery Anna
Gilbert Flores/Penske Media
Avery Anna
--
66.
ELMONT, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 11: Monaleo attends the 2024 MTV Video Music Awards at UBS Arena on September 11, 2024 in Elmont, New York. (Photo by Noam Galai/Getty Images for MTV)
Noam Galai/Getty Images
Monaleo
--
67.
INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA - MARCH 29: Mariah the Scientist attends the 2025 Billboard Women in Music at YouTube Theater on March 29, 2025 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Amy Sussman/Getty Images)
Amy Sussman/Getty Images
Mariah the Scientist
--
68.
Carter Faith
Michael Buckner/Billboard
Carter Faith
--
69.
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - FEBRUARY 06: Partyof2 attends the Los Angeles premiere of Columbia Pictures' and Sony Pictures Animation's "GOAT" at AMC Century City 15 on February 06, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Amy Sussman/Getty Images)
Amy Sussman/Getty Images
Partyof2
--
70.
PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 26: Finn Wolfhard attends the "The Legend of Ochi" Premiere during the 2025 Sundance Film Festival at Library Center Theatre on January 26, 2025 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Arturo Holmes/Getty Images)
Arturo Holmes/Getty Images
Finn Wolfhard
--
71.
Sailorr
Michael Buckner/Variety
Sailorr
--
The come-up is a bit of a coup for Spiro, who trailed Langley in the category throughout the campaign season and even into first round voting, which ended last week. And while the odds only take nomination likelihood into consideration, the switch-up calls into question what many thought to be Langley's best shot at a Grammy win come February.
Langley's fall from No. 1 in the Gold Derby odds comes shortly after a Rolling Stone article ignited conversation online about country music and the relevance of charts in the streaming era. One key piece of evidence put forward by Langley detractors is the apparent absence of "Choosin' Texas" as a viral sound on TikTok. Meanwhile, Spiro has seen her profile skyrocket largely thanks to "Die on This Hill" and its ubiquity on the platform.
With "Choosin' Texas" once again reclaiming No. 1 on the Hot 100 after a few weeks away, the song remains popular, but the narrative around it and its place in the industry this year may be beginning to shift.
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